In contrast to the "The Metaverse is dead, long live generative AI!" narrative you might have heard recently, here's some data strongly suggesting otherwise: On Google Trends, ChatGPT for all its recent buzz has never eclipsed general interest in leading metaverse platforms Minecraft and Roblox. (See above.)
Even more notable, ChatGPT has been consistently trending downward on Google Trends since April.
According to François Chollet, who works in Deep Learning at Google, the reason for that is obvious:
ChatGPT traffic actually fell last month per @Similarweb pic.twitter.com/YGAaGxO9eS
— Joe Weisenthal (@TheStalwart) July 5, 2023
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"'Producing homework' remains the #1 application of LLMs'," as she puts it bluntly. "Which is remarkable, because the point of homework is to do it yourself — the actual deliverable has zero value to anyone."
So as high school and college students started to go on break in May, the need for a program like ChatGPT to cheat on homework — I'm sorry, to serve as an informational resource for report preparation — rapidly goes away. And indeed, general traffic to ChatGPT site OpenAI also started trending down in May, according to SimilarWeb (see above).
I don't doubt that's part of the reason why ChatGPT is trending downward, as compared to Roblox and Minecraft, but another factor is key: Metaverse platforms are dynamic online communities, while an LLM like ChatGPT is mainly an informational resource. You go there for an answer, you get one (or several) and then you leave.
You can see that in traffic trends of a metaverse platform like Roblox, as compared to ChatGPT:
While OpenAI's site gets about twice the raw traffic as Roblox.com (according to SimilarWeb), actual engagement is much thinner, with a bounce rate of 42% and an average visit duration of 4 minutes, 25 seconds. (Roblox's bounce rate is under 19%, with an average visit duration of 13 minutes, 38 seconds.)
This also fits the data I noted in May, that leading metaverse platforms still have more unique users than leading generative AI platforms.
Or to put all this another way: an LLM like ChatGPT might give you useful answers (sometimes), but it doesn't create nor sustain a community around it.
Unfortunately, the community of marketers and evangelists who still insist on saying, "The Metaverse is dead, long live generative AI!" will be around a bit longer. At least until the next buzzy concept they don't necessarily understand comes along.
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