With Bitcoin's experiencing an utter bloodbath today, this may come across as "I told ya so", but hopefully not. For nearly 10 years, Bitcoin promoters and major investors have never been able to answer a question I started asking in 2013, and kept asking over the years: If Bitcoin is such an important virtual currency, why does it have less daily transactions than Linden Dollars in Second Life?
This isn't to say Linden Dollars are superior to Bitcoin — which after all, are a virtual currency intrinsically tied to a social game MMO platform. However, after all that hype, you'd think Silicon Valley would be quick to have the same skepticism for Bitcoin as they did for Second Life after it failed to deliver on its promises in 2006-2008.
Daily BTC transactions have grown somewhat since then, but remain below 300,000 per day, as compared to Second Life's 400,000+.
Why? Short answer: Because the value of any money — even and especially virtual money — is created by a community which agrees to value it. Even and especially a virtual community. Linden Dollars have that. Bitcoin never really did.
Again, this isn't said with any triumph, because thousands if not millions of people have bought into the Bitcoin hype, and are now suffering. But the thing is, another blockchain-based speculation bubble is still happening, and the same principles still apply:
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js
As I noted back in January, NFT sales compare quite poorly to virtual item purchases in Second Life, which hasn't been considered a "hot" platform in tech since at least 2010. But Second Life still attracts about 200,000 daily active users, and it's fair to estimate each of those users buy an average of 1-2 virtual items per day. (At a conservative guess; 3-5 per day is probably more accurate.) In other words, at least twice the daily sales than OpenSea, and 1000x more the NFT sales on Coinbase.
"Do you like apples?"
"What?"
"Do you like apples?"
"Yeah."
"Well I got $20 million to promote Bitcoin during the Super Bowl and now 30% of your savings is gone." pic.twitter.com/k8QkoUCCcN
— Wagner James Au (@slhamlet) May 12, 2022
So please consider this before getting further involved in NFTs. And whatever you do: Don't Be Like Matt.
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